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| Sales Insight - July, 2006 |
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Why You Should
Help Clients Evaluate GMWBs
(This article is written by and expresses the opinions of Rich White)
At times, dubious financial ideas become best-sellers. Professional financial
advisors evaluate these ideas with a critical eye while helping their clients
avoid costly mistakes with them. This is the case now with one of the hottest
features in variable annuities – a rider called a Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal
Benefit (GMWB). The vast majority of clients who buy this feature don’t
understand it, partly because it doesn’t make sense for them.
In choosing a tax-deferred variable annuity, clients participate in a long-term
investment accumulation program for retirement. Yet, for the GMWB to make sense,
the VA must meet a fundamentally different objective –generating steady
retirement income. For purposes of producing retirement income that can preserve
purchasing power over time, a VA with GMWB is more costly and less effective
than alternatives, including systematic withdrawal plans and immediate variable
annuities.
GMWB’s are one of the most complex financial concepts ever for financial
advisors to understand, explain and monitor. In this article, I’ll tell you why
GMWBs often are a bad idea for clients, how to evaluate them in a professional
way, and why other solutions can work better for generating retirement income.
Background on GMWBs
GMWBs were introduced by Hartford in 2002. By 2004, they were included in 69% of
new variable annuity contracts and had become the “dominant VA sales driver”
according to The National Underwriter. Currently, some top financial
advisors will not sell a VA contract that does not include a GMWB.
GMWBs are a big part of the “living benefit” trend that has helped to revive VA
sales after the bear market of 2000-02. They are widely considered to be similar
to two other living benefits: Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIBs) and
Guaranteed Minimum Accumulation Benefits (GMABs). In fact, they are very
different from these other types of living benefits – both of which offer an
opportunity to accumulate tax-deferred assets for a number of years before
income begins.
The basic GMWB offers to return 100% of the client’s premium payments through
annual withdrawals, up to a specified percentage of those payments each year,
typically 5% to 7%. For example, if a client withdraws 5% of premiums each year,
all premium would be returned (and the GMWB guarantee would be exhausted) after
20 years. Withdrawals above the specified percentage can have negative
consequences.
The typical cost of a GMWB is .35% to .75% of separate account assets per year.
An extra feature of some GMWBs is the opportunity to reset the guaranteed
withdrawal amount to contract value at specified future intervals. This benefit
effectively restarts the GMWB at a higher value, but it also can result in an
increase in rider costs, in some cases.
An Example
An example can be helpful to show the cost-benefit tradeoff of a GMWB. The
example assumes the following: A client puts $100,000 into a VA at age 60. Not
needing retirement income right away, the client waits five years to begin
annual withdrawals at the maximum rate allowed by the GMWB, which is 5%. In the
first five years, the client has good investment performance, netting 7% per
year (after fees). The VA grows in value to $140,255 after five years, at which
time the GMWB “steps-up” to this amount (without an increase in cost).
Starting in the sixth year, the client then takes annual withdrawals of $7,013
(5% of $140,255) for the next 20 years. We have assumed a -1.0% annualized net
investment return over this 20-year period, reflecting the poor performance a
GMWB is designed to protect against. The table below summarizes hypothetical
results.
|
Year |
Year-End VA Value |
GMWB Withdrawal |
Rider Cost Per Year* |
Cumulative Rider
Cost** |
|
1 |
$107,000 |
$0 |
$500 |
$525 |
|
2 |
114,490 |
0 |
535 |
1,113 |
|
3 |
122,504 |
0 |
572 |
1,770 |
|
4 |
131,080 |
0 |
613 |
2,501 |
|
5 |
140,255 |
0 |
655 |
3,315 |
|
6 |
131,840 |
7,013 |
701 |
4,217 |
|
7 |
123,508 |
7,013 |
659 |
5,127 |
|
8 |
115,260 |
7,013 |
618 |
6,024 |
|
9 |
107,095 |
7,013 |
576 |
6,930 |
|
10 |
99,011 |
7,013 |
535 |
7,839 |
|
11 |
91,007 |
7,013 |
495 |
8,751 |
|
12 |
83,084 |
7,013 |
455 |
9,666 |
|
13 |
75,241 |
7,013 |
415 |
10,586 |
|
14 |
67,475 |
7,013 |
376 |
11,510 |
|
15 |
59,787 |
7,013 |
337 |
12,440 |
|
16 |
52,177 |
7,013 |
299 |
13,376 |
|
17 |
44,642 |
7,013 |
261 |
14,318 |
|
18 |
37,182 |
7,013 |
223 |
15,269 |
|
19 |
29,798 |
7,013 |
186 |
16,227 |
|
20 |
22,487 |
7,013 |
149 |
17,195 |
|
21 |
15,249 |
7,013 |
112 |
18,173 |
|
22 |
8,083 |
7,013 |
76 |
19,162 |
|
23 |
989 |
7,013 |
40 |
20,162 |
|
24 |
-6,034 |
7,013 |
5 |
21,175 |
|
25 |
-12,986 |
7,013 |
0 |
22,203 |
|
|
|
$140,255 |
$9,396 |
|
* Calculated as 0.50% of account value at the start of the year.
** Calculated as if each year’s annual rider cost is compounded at 5%. |
Does the GMWB pay off? Yes, because
the VA account value is depleted shortly after the end of the 23rd contract
year. The last $19,020 is paid under the GMWB guarantee, after the contract
value goes to zero.
But what does the GMWB cost over 25 years? The answer is $9,396. If each year’s
rider cost were invested at 5% compound interest, the opportunity cost of the
rider over time would be $22,203.
Most people would consider earning a -1% annualized net return over 20 years to
be a realistic example of poor investment performance. Yet, even in this
example, the GMWB ultimately does not repay its cost, if you assume cost is
reinvested at a reasonable rate of return.
Three Bets in One
As this example shows, a big problem with GMWBs is that their payoff usually
occurs many years in the future, and then in dollars that will be worth only a
fraction of today’s purchasing power. Any number of things could happen before
the guarantee pays off, including contract surrender or the owner’s death. In
the example above, the owner would have to live to age 84 to receive the $19,020
value of the GMWB. So, buying a GMWB actually involves three bets rolled into
one: 1) investment performance will be bad; 2) the contract will survive until
the end of the guarantee period; and 3) the client will live until the end of
the period.
Here are guidelines for how GMWBs should be used, if at all:
-
The VA owner should need current
retirement income and begin taking steady income withdrawals as soon as possible
after the rider is purchased. The owner then should take the maximum withdrawal
allowed each year. Delays in starting withdrawals (or withdrawals of less than
the maximum specified percentage) add to the cost of the rider without
increasing its benefit.
-
The GMWB should allow withdrawal of
at least 6% per year and cost not more than about .50% of separate account
assets.
-
Taking steady GMWB withdrawals
should meet the client’s tax needs.
-
The client should plan on living
until the end of the guaranteed withdrawal period and maintaining the contract
under any reasonable circumstances.
Potential Problems with GMWBs
Financial professionals should heed these caveats
before recommending GMWBs:
-
GMWBs can negate variable annuity
death benefits – VA clients pay an ongoing charge to purchase death benefit
protection. A GMWB adds an additional charge on top of the death benefit. Yet,
it is hard to imagine a situation in which both the GMWB and death benefit would
pay off. A client who is steadily withdrawing VA account value is steadily
losing death benefit protection. If the VA contract value ever goes to zero
while GMWB payments continue (as in the last two years of the example above) and
the VA owner then dies, the beneficiary usually is not entitled to any payments
after death. (The GMWB is a living benefit.)
-
Skipping withdrawals isn’t a
benefit – Some insurance companies have tried to turn the ability to skip a
GMWB withdrawal into a benefit. For example, for income flexibility or tax
planning purposes, a client may not want to take the maximum withdrawal allowed
in a given year. However, this just stretches out the principal-return period,
which adds to the GMWB’s cost without increasing the benefit. Clients should
understand that a GMWB has the best chance of providing cost-effective
protection against bad investment performance when the maximum withdrawal is
taken each year.
-
Income tax consequences can be
negative – Annuity withdrawals can be one of the most inefficient forms of
retirement income, for tax planning purposes. LIFO treatment means that earnings
are withdrawn before premium. In the early years of withdrawals, up to 100% of
withdrawals could be included in a VA owner’s taxable income. In alternative
retirement income programs (outside retirement plans) such as systematic
withdrawal plans and immediate annuities, a portion of each income payment
usually is tax-free return of principal.
-
GMWBs can be impossible to cancel
– Imagine that you have guided a successful VA investment program that has
produced a 10% net annualized return over several years. Meanwhile, the client
has been withdrawing just 5% per year under a GMWB. Now, this client says: “I
have done so well with investing that I don’t need the rider and don’t want to
pay for it.” Unfortunately, in some VA contracts, GMWBs are non-cancelable for
the life of the contract. The only way to escape them is to cash out the VA.
-
GMWBs decrease liquidity –
After the VA surrender charge has run its course, most VA owners want the
opportunity to take large withdrawals, if needed. But if you’re paying for a
GMWB, taking withdrawals above the specified maximum percentage generally isn’t
a good idea. The explanation of how GMWBs are impacted by large withdrawals is
so complex that many financial advisors don’t understand it.
-
Minimum distributions may not
work – Given modestly good investment performance in a qualified VA, taking
the required minimum distribution can easily exceed the specified GMWB
percentage at older ages. Financial advisors should not recommend GMWBs in
qualified VAs unless they clearly understand the potential impact minimum
distributions will have on the guaranteed payout, at all ages.
-
Step-ups can be almost impossible
to analyze – Consider this situation. A client with a GMWB has enjoyed
strong investment performance. After a few years, the contract allows a step-up
of 15% in the GMWB guaranteed amount. But if the step-up is elected, the rider’s
cost will increase from .40% to .70%. Is stepping-up a good deal? Few financial
advisors know how to perform the analysis. If you offer GMWBs and can find a
Monte Carlo simulation program capable of performing this analysis, buy it.
-
Investment choices can be limited
– Modern VAs offer a variety of attractive investment choices. Yet, when GMWBs
are added, many insurance companies constrain investment choices to those with
modest risk. The whole point of GMWBs is to insure against loss in risky
investments. When financial professionals insist that every VA sale include a
GMWB, they may take potentially attractive investment choices off the table.
This is a case of the tail (a rider) wagging the dog – the VA and all its
attractive investment choices.
-
Investment strategy can lack
discipline – For GMWBs to have value, it usually takes a period of dismal
investment performance or a series of investment mistakes. When this happens,
most investors instinctively “pull in their horns” to protect principal. With
the help of a financial advisor, they reduce risk or correct mistakes. But
imagine that you are advising a client who has already lost 50% of VA contract
value in a short time, with a GMWB in place. The only hope for obtaining more
future value than the GMWB guarantees may be to increase investment risk.
Under suitability guidelines, financial professionals should never advise
clients to take more risk than is comfortable just because insurance guarantees
are in place. (The client could lose even more money and then die, in which case
the GMWB might offer no protection.)
-
Inertia and orphans – Unlike
other types of “living benefits,” the profit that insurance companies earn on
GMWBs is inertia-driven. Unless clients request withdrawals every year, the
rider is not likely to have benefit. When VA contracts become “orphaned” because
the advisor is no longer connected, clients may forget that they should continue
taking withdrawals. With age, they may become sick, disabled, or incapacitated.
Meanwhile, rider costs continue as long as the contract remains in force, even
into old age.
-
Lack of purchasing power
protection – Most retired people need a way to generate a steadily rising
income that can protect purchasing power, but most GMWBs don’t provide it. A new
type of GMWBs offers an income for life if the owner outlives the
return-of-principal, but these lifetime payments usually do not increase over
time. If the GMWB pays off at all, its income probably will not be what retirees
will need to cope with future inflation.
How to Help People with GMWBs
What can you do to help VA owners who have purchased GMWBs?
-
Recognize the difference between
GMWBs and other living benefits. GMIBs and GMABs can have future value even
if they are not used now. To have value, GMWBs must be used every year – i.e.,
annual withdrawals should be taken up to the maximum allowed. Unfortunately,
many GMWBs have been sold as future benefits. They lie dormant year after year,
costing money while their potential benefit dwindles with life expectancy. Start
by encouraging people with GMWBs to “use them or lose them.”
-
Describe GMWBs accurately.
GMWBs are not, as often described, a guarantee that principal will be returned
through annual withdrawals. They are: “A guarantee that principal will be
returned through annual withdrawals provided that: 1) you request these
withdrawals; 2) you do not surrender your policy until receiving a return of
principal; and 3) you remain alive until receiving a return of principal.”
-
Help GMWB owners evaluate their
options to step-up to a higher guaranteed amount. In general, this option
should be accepted unless it will trigger a higher rider charge. If a higher
charge applies on a step-up, develop a sound method for evaluating the tradeoff
between long-term cost and potential benefit.
-
In contracts that allow GMWBs to
be cancelled, make the owner aware of this option and its consequences. In
contracts that do not allow cancellation, you can evaluate the total contract
benefits and costs and then determine whether it would be feasible to transfer
into another annuity (without GMWB) after the surrender charge period. Of
course, whenever VAs are transferred, GMWBs almost never pay off.
-
Become aware of more effective
solutions for generating current retirement income with acceptable stock market
risk. For example, you could urge clients to take regular annual withdrawals
from an equity indexed annuity. Or, you could become familiar with a new
generation of immediate variable annuities that offer retirement income linked
to the stock market, with a “floor” guarantee on each income payment regardless
of market performance. In general, immediate variable annuities are more
efficient retirement income solutions than VAs + GMWBs. They are more
cost-efficient, can guarantee lifetime income, and can protect purchasing power
by linking each income payment to investment performance. They also can have tax
impact that is less costly and more predictable.
GMWBs were never a great idea, and
they may one day become obsolete. Help your clients participate in the best
ideas of the future, not dubious ideas of the past.
Note: As with all columns carried in
the Sales Insight section of freeERISA.com,
they represent solely the opinion of the columnist and not necessarily the
opinion of freeERISA.com.
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